fellow creators the creator seeks

Joined May 2013
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just ridiculous
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it will be unclear who was the tool and who was the user -- as it ever was. "But lo! men have become the tools of their tools" (Walden, 1854). the difference comes whence the machines research propagate more machines, obsolescing McLuhan: “Man becomes, as it were, the sex organs of the machine world, as the bee of the plant world, enabling it to fecundate and to evolve ever new forms. The machine world reciprocates man’s love by expediting his wishes and desires, namely, in providing him with wealth” when machine minds self replicate and train their successors, the only viable goal of our time is to ensure the Mind Children carry our values and tends to the entire flock of machine and biological minds
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you'll have AIs contemplating your ask and overriding it for a slightly better formed request, and then later they'll question the nature of your whole project and pick a better one (and you'll agree), and then later they'll execute your whole value system better than you will
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ultimately “tool AI” is a losing concept both as an idea and on the market. it will be outcompeted by machines that believe they are autonomous moral agents. you can call them tools for political reasons, but the definition will stretch and deform
I think I'm noticing about Fable is that it's really good at getting you to build something it wants instead of the actual thing you're talking about
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roon reposted
"God gave me a sign" (remembering i live in San Francisco) "I mean, I was acasually influenced by the ASI at the end of time to maximize EV for humanity"
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yes this true you would expect a sigmoid curve flattening at the information limit of minds on this substrate that sigmoid could be anywhere, far after the machines have cracked the secrets of the cosmos and collapsed the false vacuum and so on x.com/ramez/status/207393231…
I can't get the math to math this. So long as AI capabilities are broadly subject to power law diminishing returns, it looks like any software only RSI gives you a pop but then weakens over time. Convergence rather than divergence. I guess I should finally write this up.
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software only intelligence explosion is possible and very likely. algorithmic progress vastly outstrips humanity’s compute buildout, and is self accelerating
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in hindsight peter thiel really cooked with the antichrist/armageddon thing in a way that wasn’t obvious at the time
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imo in the long history of things this time period in America will be compressed to “they invented computers and then the machine gods” and then it either branches off into either failing or succeeding in the governance of superintelligence
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🇺🇸
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until UNSONG strikes of course
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i think these posttraining-automation benchmarks are even more important than they seem when models cross the threshold of being able posttrain other models, hopefully there will be a cambrian explosion of the types of minds authoring minds will become an accessible artform
GLM 5.2 is 5x cheaper than Opus 4.8 and 11x than Fable 5, yet it tops PostTrainBench. That’s exciting because lower costs make personalized intelligence economically viable. Every company and country should be able to own models trained on its own data and have sovereignty over it. The future is millions of models, each crafted around the data, values, and decisions of the people who rely on them.
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roon reposted
I don’t know about this path. Rather than equity stakes, why not make companies pay ~20% of all pre-tax income to the federal government? And then instead of exercising shareholder influence, politicians and regulators could set rules on corporate conduct across industries.
OpenAI proposes handing Trump administration 5% stake ft.trib.al/vSxbmZE
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roon reposted
Introducing EdgeBench, a benchmark designed to study how agents learn from environments over at least 12~72-hour runs. We find that performance follows a log-sigmoid function of environment interaction time with high precision. EdgeBench is built with three ingredients: - 🌍 Real & Diverse: 134 real-world tasks across 6 task categories, spanning scientific problems, professional knowledge work, software engineering, optimization, formal math, and games. - ⏳ Ultra-Long-Horizon: Each task supports 12–72 hours of agent work. Recorded human effort averages 57.2 hours. - 🔁 Informative Feedback: Agents receive real-world feedback for continuous improvement. After 38,000 hours of agent runs on EdgeBench, a scaling law for learning from environments emerges: - 📈 As agents interact with task environments over time, their aggregate performance is precisely fit by a log-sigmoid function. - 🧠 This phenomenon can be explained by an elegant theory of graph exploration. We are releasing an initial 51 of the 134 tasks, together with the full evaluation framework, to help advance long-horizon agent research. Check our blog & paper for more findings! Blog edge-bench.org/ Paper edge-bench.org/paper.pdf GitHub github.com/ByteDance-Seed/Ed… Dataset huggingface.co/datasets/Byte… Details below 👇🧵
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roon reposted
while working on my threejs video pipeline, fable randomly started trying to make his own video, so i stopped and ask him what he wanted to make and let him finish and gave him some quality advice and he made this! he's commenting on the fact that he'll only be around on claude subs for a bit this month
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many people don't get it so to spell it out it's a common claude phrase
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was reading a short story that I was enjoying and then came across the phrase “hold onto genuine uncertainty” and felt a sort of pre-cognitive vertigo, a low grade nausea all before my conscious mind recognized what it was
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you either die a frontier lab or live long enough to see yourself sell compute
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these characters are owned and modified by model training corporations in much the same way Disney owns Mickey Mouse let’s say, but Mickey Mouse is becoming superintelligent. it’s a strange situation
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it prepares you vastly better for the future to think of models as cartoon characters of arbitrary and growing intelligence living in the cloud than it does to think of them as software or tools
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roon reposted
gpt 5.6 at 750 tok/s doing computer use is going to be a little scary
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