Without space datacenters we're on track for a Grey Goo type doomsday scenario, where every square meter of earth's surface gets tiled by solar datacenters. Once AI is unconstrained to expand out into space, it makes no sense to eat up earth - we're safe.
Jun 25
Plots of empty desert could soon be worth more than the most fertile farmland in human history.
@CJHandmer ran through the back-of-the-envelope math.
10 acres of solar is enough for 1 MW of H100s. And the FLOPS done by those H100s is roughly equivalent to 1000 human brains.
If we build models that match human performance per FLOP, we could produce 100 humans' worth of cognition per acre of solar.
And that's just the floor. Today's chips are far less energy-efficient than the brain, so the actual number could be bigger still by >50x.
The implied land value is insane. The clear incentive would be to use up almost all the world's land for solar.
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