Joined May 2008
1,571 Photos and videos
I wanted to understand how automation hits white collar jobs so I went on a huge research trip into the last time it happened: the 1980s We rarely talk about the mass automation brought about by the PC. But it was massive! Take a look at this map of the most popular job in every US state in 1978. With the exception of truck drivers – for now – every job on that map has been reshaped by automation
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Rowland Manthorpe reposted
Make sure to follow @rowlsmanthorpe who easily has some of the best coverage on AI in the UK.
Wondering exactly what’s been going on in AI recently and why everyone is sounding so feverish about AI sovereignty? My latest for @SkyNews has the answers
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Really pleased that this piece has 40k views on YouTube, a run on TV and is still just under the England game and the Sunday show on the Sky News app If AI is half as important as it seems then telling people about it is really going to matter
Wondering exactly what’s been going on in AI recently and why everyone is sounding so feverish about AI sovereignty? My latest for @SkyNews has the answers
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Rowland Manthorpe reposted
For a while now @rowlsmanthorpe has been on it with what’s happening in AI now in the UK like few British journalists.
Wondering exactly what’s been going on in AI recently and why everyone is sounding so feverish about AI sovereignty? My latest for @SkyNews has the answers
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Wondering exactly what’s been going on in AI recently and why everyone is sounding so feverish about AI sovereignty? My latest for @SkyNews has the answers
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Interesting piece (not just because it cites me)
I wrote this for the @FT today, on what Burnham, and his party, must learn from Starmer's failures on growth. ft.com/content/2a04cc0e-ed9f…
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Kind of feel bad for Sonnet 4.6 which just consumes usage limits normally
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Top parenting tip: increase screen time. We are so lucky to live in a golden age of children's TV: Numberblocks, Andy's Dinosaur Adventures, the Night Garden - endlessly available at any time Last night we all watched Horrible Histories then sang the Thomas Edison song (to the tune of Smells Like Teen Spirit) together Perfection
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Today's office
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Interesting FT piece with some more detail on Andy Burnham's AI strategy, including a reassessment of driverless cars in London Slightly strange use of the word "headlong" to describe a multi-year process to adopt something that's already commonplace in the US and China
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Of course reassessments are inevitable and probably necessary given the change in political leadership, but I wonder if Westminster really understands the costs of that kind of delay For eg - new @CarnegieEndow report on data centres finds that delays are *more important* than energy prices "A one-year delay in operation would cost an illustrative 100-megawatt U.S. data center more than $500 million over its life cycle, or more than 5 percent of its total value"
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I think about this a lot. Even decent voice to speech would be a huge upgrade
I know it's been said before. But given everything is apparently easy now. How come Siri's still so bad? Like TinyLlama was made by 3-5 people in a few months for like $50,000. I get why integrating Siri would be difficult, But as a standalone LLM, it'd be easy And then start putting it in Apple HomePods, Make it the glue
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11 thoughts on the AI situation now Fable 5 and Mythos 5 have (sort of) been released 1. There is now a de facto licensing system for AI in the US and by extension the rest of the world 2. The labs are doing everything they can to make the licensing framework as formal as possible - that's what Anthropic's calls for "common standards" and "frameworks" are all about 3. While this might not seem like the language of the Trump administration, it has a huge incentive to find some kind of framework because the financial implications of getting it wrong are so enormous 4. And I mean enormous. The US stock market is propped up by AI yet the US government is delaying/nerfing the best models, making it very hard for them to compete against Chinese labs. Surely this cannot last 5. So you need to improve licensing. But any kind of licensing regime will inevitably slow down model releases and possibly make them less powerful 6. How to square this circle and stop licensing damaging the US labs? The conclusion is obvious - ban or heavily regulate Chinese AI or even open source AI 7. Anthropic has clearly clocked this because Dario has been lobbying for open source regulation 8. Of course this would be v difficult to enforce but it's not impossible as some people make out. There's a bill in Congress calling for a ban on Chinese AI in the govt supply chain - pass that and people will fall in line 9. I expect this struggle to go on for some time and be very chaotic but there are models for where this might go - most obviously medication 10. Good version: AI is centrally regulated but open source is allowed under certain conditions, leading to the kind of split you have with generics vs big pharma 11. Bad version: open source is totally banned and the labs can charge whatever price they want - "illicit" AI is therefore highly desirable but is constantly being cracked down on in a heavy-handed way, like Napster or torrenting before legal streaming 12. Given the undesirability of that last scenario, there is a big opportunity for non-Chinese open source AI right now - perhaps an opportunity for EU/UK/Canada etc? 13. But mostly for the rest of the world, this is very difficult. Right now the licensing system looks like a lot like what Sam Altman calls "the government picking the customers" - and those customers are all American 14. There is an urgent need for a global settlement involving both China and the US or this could get extremely chaotic and that would not be good. The labs have already said they'd support this. Who can lead it? Just thoughts and not a statement of my preferred outcome. Interested in hearing where I'm wrong – although of course if you think I'm right please share this with fulsome praise
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This is exactly what I'm talking about x.com/i/status/2072391836220…
Sam Altman of OpenAI has an opinion piece in The FT. “This is how we can make AI safe for everyone” Full text Two weeks ago, I joined heads of state from the world’s leading democracies and AI industry peers at the G7 in France.  We discussed the need for a global framework for advanced AI models: safety testing and standards, and a way for people around the world to access the benefits that would come from this technology.  Today this conversation seems even more important. The world is not going to get to enjoy the benefits of AI if we do not take action to address the very real safety threats in front of us. Determining safety standards is a prerequisite to broad distribution.  Figuring this out has become an imperative for the mission of all companies attempting to build artificial general intelligence. I would like to propose a simple framework: a US-led international forum that establishes accepted standards, provides expert and impartial analysis of capabilities and risks, and makes the technology available to nations and companies that participate and follow the rules. This forum might include government representatives, independent technical experts and others. It could also serve as a governance mechanism over the labs, and guard against the commercial pressures that can lead to unsafe racing. Countries — and the people and businesses that live within them — deserve access to this technology. And the entire world should want to ensure that standards are followed to keep us all safe; anyone misusing AI could do a great deal of damage.  I can envision an effective framework in which countries become members by adhering to rules agreed upon by the international forum, and companies within those countries undergo regular certification to ensure smooth, dependable access to advanced systems. International co-operation like this seems a reasonable way to avoid power becoming too concentrated, and ensure that the benefits of AI are democratised.  Already, systems that in recent memory would have been called science fiction are being deployed at enterprises and governments around the world. Evidence of AI’s economic value, importance to national security and acceleration of scientific discovery is becoming clear. In another year or two, we expect to have built systems with astonishing power, capable of delivering tremendous value to the world. Artificial intelligence will reshape the material conditions of human life on a scale that no technology has accomplished since the harnessing of electricity, and perhaps beyond even that.  Everyone on Earth should benefit from this technology and determine for themselves how to best use it, not only in terms of the economic outcomes right for their societies but with more personal liberty and control over their future than ever before by making use of the technology directly in creative new ways. But if global safety standards are not established, AI restrictions, possibly via actions taken by individual countries, will be the only way forward.  There are precedents we can draw on here. Aviation safety, global financial standards and efforts to manage atomic energy via the International Atomic Energy Agency are all examples. Even during times of immense international turmoil this co-operation has been possible; the IAEA for instance came into being in the early days of the cold war. There appeared to be meaningful energy around such a concept coming out of the G7 gathering; perhaps the countries that participated could be a great place to start. Democratic institutions must not cede their responsibilities to AI labs. The labs develop the technology, but citizens and their elected representatives must make the rules. The most important decisions about how this technology is used should be made through democratic processes, not by a small number of companies in San Francisco. ….
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Rowland Manthorpe reposted
From the moment he opened with "I'm gonna try and keep this more adult than I usually do," I knew it was going to be pure cinema. 🍿
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Went to see these guys yesterday and learnt that one of the biggest obstacles to robotics in the UK/EU is GDPR, because if you want robots that interact you need to process personal data It's 2036: my robot butler hands me a cookie notice before he unloads my dishwasher
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My son thinks football is just about stars and I've been trying to teach him about teams and so on - then the World Cup comes round and let's be honest he's bang on isn't he
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