Chief Economist @LawEconCenter. Antitrust and price theory. 📝Price Theory Newsletter economicforces.xyz

Joined November 2010
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Some news? I’m writing a book for @stripepress 🎉 THE PRICE CODE is (shockingly) about price theory and teaches the power of rigorous economic reasoning. The book will explain how prices move, what they reveal about the world, and why most popular explanations are just empty
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Brian Albrecht reposted
Interesting piece by Josh Hendrickson on AI and national security. economicforces.xyz/p/ai-poli…
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Brian Albrecht reposted
It’s interesting that so many of the folks peddling these ideas (like a former colleague of mine, now a US senator) are Yale Law grads. They learn very little econ in law school but are repeatedly assured they’re smarter than everyone else. Thus the condescending gobbledygook.
JD Vance is so frustrating. Here he takes gratuitous shots at Milton Friedman as a bad model for Republican economic thinking. With Friedman as the guiding light, Ronald Reagan won 49 states and ushered in a decade of unrivaled prosperity.
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Brian Albrecht reposted
Earlier this year, we suggested that Germany could pass labor market reforms by making "workers above a certain income threshold face Danish labor rules". This morning, Merz announced that Germany is introducing at-will employment for anyone earning over €180,000.
Why don't European companies innovate? It is common to blame expensive energy, high taxes, anti-growth politicians, interest groups, and green regulations. But California has the same problems, and has created the world's most innovative companies. Europe's problem is labor law. Compared with America, it's far harder to let workers go when a business doesn't work out. worksinprogress.co/issue/why… - It costs a large company roughly four times more to fire a worker in Germany or France than the US. - German law requires employers to consider age, years of service, family obligations, and disability status when deciding who to lay off. Employees who would be least impacted by losing their job are prioritized for dismissal. - German employees who take on a caregiving role are fully protected from dismissal for two years from the date they begin caregiving. - Factory closures in Germany regularly lead to payments of over €200,000 per employee. - French companies must be prepared to show a court that their financial results are struggling enough to make layoffs necessary. - To avoid the difficulties of formal dismissals, many European companies entice workers to depart voluntarily, with payouts of up to four years' salary. Taken together, a German worker is ten times less likely to be fired in a given year than an American worker. This high cost of firing makes failures more expensive. It pushes big European companies away from taking risks and leads them to concentrate on safe, unchanging areas. Europe has the ingredients needed to succeed. Its citizens are educated and inventive; it has excellent infrastructure and the rule of law; and its culture is not that different from the one it had fifty years ago, when its companies were world-beating. If Europe wants to a Tesla or a Google, it only needs to make it cheaper for companies to fail. My new piece for @WorksInProgMag.
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Brian Albrecht reposted
The states' latest AI-fear crusade is against personalized pricing. My latest in @FT laying out why the fear is premature and built on false premises about what price discrimination does. Banning it promises a single price, not some low price ft.com/content/e8a52d2a-9b48…
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Brian Albrecht reposted
This cost us a lot of money. Please clap.
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Brian Albrecht reposted
So today is a great day for my piece in @TaxNotes to come out on "How Do We Tax AI?"... 1/
OpenAI proposes handing Trump administration 5% stake ft.trib.al/vSxbmZE
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I'll admit this line I wrote in Barron's seems wrong (if the DOJ complaint is accurate). "These producers haven't manipulated prices" That's a long ways from "this manipulation explains the egg price spike." Again, still zero evidence of that
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The DOJ looked around at the market. Found bad behavior (not timed around the egg price spike). Zero evidence it caused or exacerbated the price spikes people are worried about, even if the DOJ wants to take a victory lap too.
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I'll have more to say on the DOJ egg settlements. Still trying to understand it before saying much. But let's be clear. NO ONE put this as the offense. Don't let people take a victory lap as if they had a clue. Genetics? Robinson-Patman? This is throwing stuff at the wall
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Brian Albrecht reposted
Super fun to go on @MTSlive to discuss the political economy of the post-AGI world. It’s all about building political superintelligence.
SITUATION EXPLAINED: Why could post-AGI political agents fix the asymmetry that makes bad governance happen? We asked @ahall_research, Professor at @StanfordGSB "If you can use super powerful AI to give every person a super effective political agent that represents them all the time, I think you can actually go really far with that." "A lot of our biggest mistakes in governance today are the result of the fact that most of us are way too busy to pay attention, and then a small group of wackos gets to drive the decision-making process. And certainly in local politics, that's the dominant problem. Think about NIMBYism. That's totally what drives it." "I think we could totally rethink the structure of government around AI in ways that would be super exciting." "The problem will be we probably can't do that if we're talking about one closed weight model that has won out. How are we gonna run a democracy if all of our agents are built on a single model that has a single point of control by some CEO and or the government?" "We need that plurality of models. And we need to own our agents. The agent needs to respond only to us, not to the model company."
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Narco-Patriots Drug money flooded into Albania. Did it cause high housing prices? A fun piece from my friend Keler Marku, applying supply and demand to think it through. Drug money shifts both supply and demand. Vacationer money only shifts demand. tiranaexaminer.com/narco-pat…
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Agree I would not recommend a textbook. Disagree we don’t have anything to recommend that teaches basic economics. The Undercover Economist is great
An economist is often asked at a cocktail party what to read to learn some economics. It’s easy to answer the question about chemistry or ancient Greek or any settled science. If you ask an astronomer what to read to learn some astronomy, she’ll have no problem. But there’s a problem with economics, even first-year economics. Economics isn’t settled. My latest column for @folha
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Brian Albrecht reposted
Argument from @RebelEconProf that if the government is going to restrict or otherwise hold back new AI models, this should come with AI infrastructure subsidies economicforces.xyz/p/ai-poli…
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Brian Albrecht reposted
"Efficient Learning under Competition" with Mark Whitmeyer Consumers often need to learn about a product before they buy it, and that learning is costly. Competition can fix the hold-up problem this creates. We prove when.
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There just simply isn't economic justification for a blanket ban. The theory and empirics are mixed. Some of my own recent work laying out the trade-offs x.com/BrianCAlbrecht/status/…
There's lots of fear about AI and price discrimination. "They're using data in all sorts of complicated ways we can't even comprehend!" Fair. So instead of assuming a specific form, ask, what can happen across all possible types of data? Are consumers doomed? I'll argue no.
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As I've written before, when states rush to regulate, they get absolutely confused bills x.com/BrianCAlbrecht/status/…
In December, there was a panic-inducing report about Instacart. Surveillance pricing! Okay, minor detail: they found no evidence of that. Flash forward 5 months, and we have our first law out of Maryland. Lo and behold, the law is also confused about dynamic pricing, predatory pricing, price discrimination, really pricing overall. My latest in @PostOpinions about what happens when panic gets ahead of clear thinking
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